A resolution that will redefine what the two sides should expect from the US is not the best policy either. This would allow the Chinese and Taiwanese to figure out what is best for them, not what is best for the US. If a cross strait agreement occurs it is likely to come in a two-phase process. First as interim period has to be allotted and Taiwan quest for acknowledgement has to be granted and a longer commitment to a cross-strait dialogue has to be maintained for the purpose of the goal, namely, reunification. One major drawback and source of controversy here that may never be resolved is that any cross strait understanding would have to be based on the principle of one China. This would defer the experiment until the Hong Kong experiment results are going to become clear.
It would also give Taiwan what they have wanted, namely, the official recognition of a political actor in the UN system. With all of this established, I would like to now address the US role in the situation. United States and other countries in the region that would like to see a peaceful resolution to this conflict will pick the role of mediators in a cross-strait dialogue. The US could prove to be helpful in the process if it is not complicated by its frozen view of Taiwan status for the past century. In keeping up with the legal framework of the three communique and the TRA, which governs the US policy between China and Taiwan, it could present itself to be useful in helping both sides to reach mutually acceptable agreement. However the Taiwanese democracy requires the US to rethink its interpretation of its policy towards China and Taiwan.
The Term Paper on The success of China’s Foreign Policy
China’s foreign policy since the end of the Cold War has been characterised by an embracement of the international system. It is my reckoning that the success of this new foreign policy has indeed been exaggerated, but in order to give weight to this assumption, it is necessary to look at the key elements in shaping the foreign policy of the Beijing Government, and to discuss in turn the arguments ...
The main principle here is that the US supports reunification by mutual consent. The US has an obligation to Taiwan in the regard that it is a democracy. It cannot and should not turn its back on a fellow democracy; the effects could be very destructive to our foreign policy. With all parties in agreement that a peaceful resolution is desired over a military exercise in what could lead to a major war it seems more important to cease the implementation of our current policy format in this area and institute a new one using a different angle. We should push both parties through all diplomatic channels to work out a resolution now, before some situation occurs that might not be that easy to remedy.
That is how I look at the situation; if the Chinese wanted Taiwan they could take it. It could have control over the island before we could throw a serious response at them. This however is not the case. China wants Taiwan that is established, but they know they can wait for a long time before they get the desired island. In a military comparison Taiwan realizes it has little chance of fending off an invasion, and has come to accept the US pledge to help them. In looking at all the negative aspects this issue has brought to light, there is one case of silver lining that we can point out here, namely, the Taiwanese Democracy.
This achievement has had a large impact on the situation. It is also one of the reasons why China has not invaded. It is difficult to guess where the situation is going to go in the next few years. It seems to me that the two main players here have been fighting over this issue for the last seventy years, and it is unlikely to end anytime soon. In looking at possible outcomes I would surmise that reunification is possible, although unlikely at this point. Another possibility is that little will be accomplished in the next few years; this is the most probable conclusion.
Then there is always the worst-case scenario; War would break out between China and the US. That would be a terrible conclusion to this policy Triangle, but it cannot be ruled out. At this point I would like to approach the issue that is closely related to the aforementioned Triangle, namely, the issue of Chinas joining WTO. Although at the first site it appears that China is going to benefit from joining WTO yet in the given situation Chinese are going to be faced with certain drawbacks. Chinas challenges are rather huge in this matter. Chinas economic nationalists fiercely oppose the process of entry, presenting their argument the essence of which is the following: joining puts China at risk of being exploited and becoming vulnerable to international markets.
The Essay on China and WTO
In what might become a key issue in the November election is China's entry into the World Trade Organization (WTO). In case you haven't noticed the WTO has been a key issue over the past couple of months. Groups have been blaming the WTO for all the world's problems. "The WTO is anti-(insert any item here)," is something that I can always chuckle at. However, I will concede this to anti-WTO ...
If economic problems of that kind are bound to occur this is going to negatively impact the relations of China with the United States, which in its turn is going to bring yet another twist to Triangle story. Also, there is no doubt that economies of Taiwan and China will become more integrated after becoming WTO members. Taiwan is in the process of restructuring aimed at lowering manufacturing costs, which is done by moving offshore. The destination of choice has been the mainland, even before the WTO agreements. The question is how this increasing interdependency will affect China’s treatment of Taiwan, and whether it will strengthen or weaken the political support in Taiwan for accepting a status subordinate to China’s central government in Beijing as required by Beijing’s “one country, two systems” formula. China could try to resolve trade issues through internal negotiations as it does with Hong Kong.
Certainly, this would be make the benefits of joining for Taiwan not as feasible, since in this case, it would no longer be treated as separate entity. Also, China could use WTO to conduct relations with Taiwan, such as implementing direct trade links. Therefore, it is beneficial for the US if China and Taiwan will cooperate together in order to resolve their conflict. The WTO, as an international framework of great significance seems to be a useful economic and political device for that purpose.
